This market seeks to predict whether the H5N1 avian influenza virus will be officially declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) by December 31st 2025.
For this question, the resolution will depend solely on an official WHO declaration of an H5N1 pandemic. Localized outbreaks, isolated cases, or regional epidemics will not qualify unless the WHO formally classifies the event as a pandemic.
The official website or public announcements of the WHO will serve as the primary source for determining the outcome of this market.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 11 |
| Volume | M261 |
This market seeks to predict whether the H5N1 avian influenza virus will be officially declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization (WHO) by December 31st 2025.
For this question, the resolution will depend solely on an official WHO...