Resolution will be based on the ICE annual report for 2025. Resolves Yes if the deportation of illegal immigrants in fiscal year 2025 goes up by 50% compare to the 2023 numbers. (i.e. Resolves Yes if 2025 deportation count is higher than 307,687)
Supplementary details: https://www.ice.gov/news/releases/ice-releases-fiscal-year-2023-annual-report In fiscal year 2023, "ICE ERO’s 142,580 removals and 62,545 Title 42 expulsions to more than 170 countries worldwide", a total of 205,125 deportation of illegal immigrants.
Below are the ICE removal statistics for 2017-2019
https://www.ice.gov/sites/default/files/documents/Document/2019/eroReportFY2019.pdf
[image]Conditional and unconditional markets on illegal immigrants deportation:
[markets]
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 17 |
| Volume | M891 |
Resolution will be based on the ICE annual report for 2025. Resolves Yes if the deportation of illegal immigrants in fiscal year 2025 goes up by 50% compare to the 2023 numbers. (i.e. Resolves Yes if 2025 deportation count is higher than...