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Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
16%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2055, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator. This refers to a structure or a system of structures that extends from the surface of the Earth into space, allowing for the transport of goods and people to and from Earth's orbit without the use of traditional rocket propulsion. The Space Elevator must be capable of regular operation and able to sustain continuous movement of payloads between Earth and space.

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Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Space_Elevator.png

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters21
VolumeM2.2k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055?
16%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-27

Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2055, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator. This refers to a structure or a system of structures that extends from the surface of the Earth into space, allowing for the transport of goods and people...

Last updated: 2025-05-27
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 21
Volume: M2.2k

Embed #

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