We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that the "spirit of the question" is about a ground invasion involving troops. A small-scale incursion by special operations forces may not be sufficient for a YES resolution.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 95 |
| Volume | M12k |
Update 2025-06-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified that the "spirit of the question" is about a ground invasion involving troops. A small-scale incursion by special operations forces may not be sufficient for a YES...