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If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
66%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

If a Macron-backed candidate (or one that runs for his coalition or his Renaissance party) fails to be elected president, will be a candidate of the far-right? (like Le Pen or a Le Pen-backed candidate)?

I'll rely on the press to determine the labels and therefore, I won't bet.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters25
VolumeM2.6k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
66%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-05-13

If a Macron-backed candidate (or one that runs for his coalition or his Renaissance party) fails to be elected president, will be a candidate of the far-right? (like Le Pen or a Le Pen-backed candidate)?

I'll rely on the press to determine the...

Last updated: 2025-05-13
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 25
Volume: M2.6k

Embed #

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