Background
Sean "Diddy" Combs is currently facing federal investigations into allegations of sex trafficking, prostitution, and racketeering conspiracy. While Donald Trump has previously pardoned hip-hop artists like Lil Wayne and Kodak Black during his presidency, the circumstances surrounding Diddy's case are notably different.
Context
Diddy has been publicly critical of Trump in the past and opposed his presidency
Gene Deal, Diddy's former bodyguard, has indicated that Trump was displeased with Diddy's opposition
The serious nature of the allegations against Diddy differs from previous Trump pardons in the music industry
Trump would need to win the 2024 presidential election to have pardon power
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump issues a presidential pardon to Sean "Diddy" Combs for any federal charges by January 20, 2029 (the end of the next presidential term). It will resolve to NO if:
Trump does not become president
Trump becomes president but does not pardon Diddy
Diddy is not charged with federal crimes
Things to Consider
The severity and nature of any formal charges that may be filed
The outcome of the 2024 presidential election
Trump's historical pattern of pardons and personal relationships
The ongoing federal investigation's findings and timeline
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 26 |
| Volume | M4.3k |
Sean "Diddy" Combs is currently facing federal investigations into allegations of sex trafficking, prostitution, and racketeering conspiracy. While Donald Trump has previously pardoned hip-hop artists like Lil Wayne and Kodak Black during his...