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Will any U.S. State have more than 1,000,000 customers without power in 2025 again (after mid Jan power outages)?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
77%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

I will attempt to check https://poweroutage.us/ at least once per day (or much more often) and this will resolve to Yes if any state has 1,000,000+ customers without power. I will be the sole person checking for resolution so it is possible that an extremely transient event will be missed. I will not resolve based on others noting in the comments that it has occurred but if I notice the comment I will check and resolve if the condition still exists. I will also see if following on FB or twitter helps and may enlist others in my circle to make it more likely I notice.

To clarify this will only apply to the 50 US States.

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Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters10
VolumeM1.5k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will any U.S. State have more than 1,000,000 customers without power in 2025 again (after mid Jan power outages)?
77%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-06-17

I will attempt to check https://poweroutage.us/ at least once per day (or much more often) and this will resolve to Yes if any state has 1,000,000+ customers without power. I will be the sole person checking for resolution so it is possible that an...

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 10
Volume: M1.5k

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