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Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
33%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves yes if there's a company formed after Jan 1 2020 that is worth more than 1 trillion US dollars before 2030. Can be anytime, doesn't have to be worth 1 trillion on jan 1 2030.

Has to be either publicly traded or a company that has raised >10 billion in funding (to get a semi accurate value).

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters48
VolumeM2.6k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
33%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-06

Resolves yes if there's a company formed after Jan 1 2020 that is worth more than 1 trillion US dollars before 2030. Can be anytime, doesn't have to be worth 1 trillion on jan 1 2030.

Has to be either publicly traded or a company that has raised >10...

Last updated: 2025-06-06
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 48
Volume: M2.6k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-Ilc0j5vyhusJafkeQwci" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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