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Will Lex Fridman return from Russia before 2026?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
90%
Very likely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Lex Fridman has returned from Russia before January 1st 2026. I the context of this question, "returning from Russia" is defined as returning to a Western country.

If there is no evidence that Lex Fridman went to Russia, this question resolves as N/A

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters13
VolumeM529

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Lex Fridman return from Russia before 2026?
90%
Very likely
Last updated: 2025-04-01

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Lex Fridman has returned from Russia before January 1st 2026. I the context of this question, "returning from Russia" is defined as returning to a Western country.

If there is no evidence that Lex...

Last updated: 2025-04-01
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 13
Volume: M529

Embed #

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