We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
This market is about the extinction risk of the Lion species in the current century, regardless of subspecies.This market will resolve YES if the Lion is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lion
IUCN red list of threatened species
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/15951/266696959
For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/ConservationForecasts/will-the-wild-population-of-the-lio?play=true)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 15 |
| Volume | M770 |
This market is about the extinction risk of the Lion species in the current century, regardless of subspecies.This market will resolve YES if the Lion is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en..