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Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
36%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves Yes if a research paper that used Manifold data have 100 google scholar citations by the end of 2025

To quality for having used Manifold data, at least 100 questions from Manifold should have been used for the research paper.

Resolves No if no one are able to show that a research paper that used Manifold data have 100 google scholar citations by the end of 2025

Some current candidate papers: https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.18563

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters19
VolumeM1.4k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?
36%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-28

Resolves Yes if a research paper that used Manifold data have 100 google scholar citations by the end of 2025

To quality for having used Manifold data, at least 100 questions from Manifold should have been used for the research paper.

Resolves No...

Last updated: 2025-05-28
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 19
Volume: M1.4k

Embed #

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