We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Maxim Lott's analysis, when Claude 3 was released, is the basis for this question. A similar analysis will likely be published when GPT-5 is released, and that will be the basis for resolving this prediction.
https://www.maximumtruth.org/p/ais-ranked-by-iq-ai-passes-100-iq
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 22 |
| Volume | M1.7k |
Maxim Lott's analysis, when Claude 3 was released, is the basis for this question. A similar analysis will likely be published when GPT-5 is released, and that will be the basis for resolving this prediction.
https://www.maximumtruth..