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Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2031?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
4%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2031, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES. Related market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/TeddyWeverka/will-max-tegmark-have-a-cameo-role)

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters42
VolumeM9.2k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2031?
4%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-08

If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2031, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES. Related market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/TeddyWeverka/will-max-tegmark-have-a-cameo-role)

Last updated: 2025-05-08
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 42
Volume: M9.2k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-KrygWJ6EmVct1tZXGgXF" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview