This market is about the extinction risk of the Polar Bear species in the current century. This market will resolve YES if the Polar Bear is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polar_bear
IUCN red list of threatened species
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22823/14871490
For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:
(https://manifold.markets/embed/ConservationForecasts/will-the-wild-population-of-the-pol?play=true)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 17 |
| Volume | M399 |
This market is about the extinction risk of the Polar Bear species in the current century. This market will resolve YES if the Polar Bear is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia..