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Will Scotland choose to leave the UK before 2040?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
41%
About Even
Yes

Question description #

This market resolves to “yes” if Scotland either votes to leave in a referendum or actually does leave the UK through some other means before January 1st 2040.

It resolves “No” if Scotland does not leave or vote to leave.

It resolves “n/a” if Scotland ceases to exist or is annexed by some country or organisation from outside the UK. Choosing to join the EU does not count as “annexation” for this purpose.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters14
VolumeM262

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Scotland choose to leave the UK before 2040?
41%
About Even
Last updated: 2025-03-22

This market resolves to “yes” if Scotland either votes to leave in a referendum or actually does leave the UK through some other means before January 1st 2040.

It resolves “No” if Scotland does not leave or vote to leave.

It resolves “n/a” if...

Last updated: 2025-03-22
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M262

Embed #

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