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Will Trump take credit for the election of Leo XIV as the first American Pope?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
88%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Before market close 5/15/2025. Jokes count. Any implication of causality between Trump being president and him being elected counts, e.g. "I told you I'd make America Great!" in context of the papal election counts, mere expressions of happiness, e.g. "It's a new American golden age" in this context do not.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters106
VolumeM11k

Capture #

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Will Trump take credit for the election of Leo XIV as the first American Pope?
88%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-05-13

Before market close 5/15/2025. Jokes count. Any implication of causality between Trump being president and him being elected counts, e.g. "I told you I'd make America Great!" in context of the papal election counts, mere expressions of happiness, e.g..

Last updated: 2025-05-13
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 106
Volume: M11k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-LtnyU6lh9n" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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