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Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is designed and trained for specific tasks (like language translation, playing a game, or image recognition), AGI can theoretically perform any intellectual task that a human being can. It involves the capability to reason, plan, solve problems, think abstractly, comprehend complex ideas, learn quickly, and learn from experience.
Resolves as YES if such a system is created and publicly announced before January 1st 2031
Here are markets with the same criteria:
@/RemNiFHfMN/did-agi-emerge-in-2023
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2025
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2026-3d9bfaa96a61
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2027-d7b5f2b00ace
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2028-ff560f9e9346
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2029-ef1c187271ed
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2030
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2031 (this question)
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2032
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2034
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2033-34ec8e1d00fd
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2036
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2037
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2038
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2039
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2040
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2041 @/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2042
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2043
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-agi-before-2044
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2045
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2046
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2047
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2048
Related markets:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2027
@/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2028
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2029
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2030
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2031
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2032
@/RemNiFHfMN/will-we-get-asi-before-2033
@/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2034
@/RemNi/will-we-get-asi-before-2035
Other questions for 2031:
@/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-fa1926d83aec
@/RemNi/will-we-get-superconductors-before
@/RemNi/will-we-discover-alien-life-before
@/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before@/RemNi/will-a-significant-ai-generated-mem
@/RemNi/will-a-million-humanoid-robots-have
@/RemNi/will-we-have-a-cure-for-cancer-befo
@/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-mars-before-20-cbd9e461335b
@/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo
@/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be
@/RemNi/will-ai-extend-english-before-2031
@/RemNi/will-we-get-rouge-ai-before-2031
Other points of reference for AGI:
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-vladimir-put
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-xi-jinping-s
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-a-human-vent-549ed4a31a05
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-room
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-discover
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-we-get-fusio
@/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-1m-humanoid
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 130 |
| Volume | M29k |
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) refers to a type of artificial intelligence that has the ability to understand, learn, and apply its intelligence to a wide variety of problems, much like a human being. Unlike narrow or weak AI, which is...