We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Resolves YES if, at any point between May 12, 2025, and January 20, 2029 President Donald Trump's approval rating among Republicans falls below 80% according to Gallup, which polls weekly and publishes the results under Donald Trump's Second-Term Job Approval by Party Identification.
Trump’s approval rating among Republicans has been over 90% for his entire second term. The last time it dropped below 80% in his first term was December 2017.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 31 |
| Volume | M3.0k |
Resolves YES if, at any point between May 12, 2025, and January 20, 2029 President Donald Trump's approval rating among Republicans falls below 80% according to Gallup, which polls weekly and publishes the results under Donald Trump's Second-Term Job...