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By 2030, will New Zealand 🇳🇿 have officially announced a name change for international relations to include Aotearoa?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
16%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves as YES if before December 31st, 2029 the country of New Zealand announces from official sources that they want to change the international relations name of the country (date of the change itself may be after 2030) and that new name is in line with the below name criteria

Name criteria:

It includes "Aotearoa".(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aotearoa) or fully consists of the word Aotearoa.

An official name like "New Zealand Aotearoa" or "Aotearoa (New Zealand) is considered as YES for the name criteria.

Important list to reference will be "

UNGEGN List of Country Names - the United Nations"

(Although the list itself might not update on the day of the announcement)

https://unstats.un.org/unsd/geoinfo/ungegn/docs/11th-uncsgn-docs/E_Conf.105_13_CRP.13_15_UNGEGN%20WG%20Country%20Names%20Document.pdf

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters19
VolumeM2.7k

Capture #

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By 2030, will New Zealand 🇳🇿 have officially announced a name change for international relations to include Aotearoa?
16%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-06

Resolves as YES if before December 31st, 2029 the country of New Zealand announces from official sources that they want to change the international relations name of the country (date of the change itself may be after 2030) and that new name is in...

Last updated: 2025-06-06
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 19
Volume: M2.7k

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