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Will Canadians with gender-neutral passports be treated equally when travelling to the USA in 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
12%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Background: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trump-gender-passports-canada-1.7440414?cmp=rss

Examples that would resolve NO:

Repeated/widespread incidents of gender-neutral passport holders being detained or denied entry -- even if this only occurs for a couple months

An official government statement that gender-neutral passport holders will be discriminated against

Examples that would resolve YES:

Only an isolated incident of a gender-neutral passport holder being detained or denied

Discrimination occurs that is isolated only to non-Canadians

Discrimination occurs after 2025 is over

No systemic discrimination against Canadian gender-neutral passport holders occurs in 2025

Because this resolves based on my opinion, I will not trade in this market.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters14
VolumeM690

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Canadians with gender-neutral passports be treated equally when travelling to the USA in 2025?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-15

Background: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trump-gender-passports-canada-1.7440414?cmp=rss

Examples that would resolve NO:

Repeated/widespread incidents of gender-neutral passport holders being detained or denied entry -- even if this only occurs...

Last updated: 2025-05-15
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M690

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