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This market is quite similar to the following market. However, instead of focusing on the papers, it focuses a bit more on the practicality aspect by considering a mixture of the most commonly used models and the SOTA models at the end of 2026.
I am including both Adam and close variants (e.g. AdamW).
I will sample a mixture of open source best models in 2026. Not participating in this market in case judgement is required.
If training details are not provided, can reach out to the creators of the models, if they decline, we move on and pick the next best thing
(https://manifold.markets/embed/vluzko/by-2027-will-adam-be-replaced-by-a?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 32 |
| Volume | M2.8k |
This market is quite similar to the following market. However, instead of focusing on the papers, it focuses a bit more on the practicality aspect by considering a mixture of the most commonly used models and the SOTA models at the end of 2026.
I am...