If there are import tariffs from the US on both Canada and Mexico that are 25% or higher by Jan 1 2026 this resolves to 'yes'. Otherwise 'no'.
Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The condition of 25% or higher tariffs applies if at least one type of good imported from both Canada and Mexico is subject to a US import tariff of 25% or more.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 17 |
| Volume | M519 |
If there are import tariffs from the US on both Canada and Mexico that are 25% or higher by Jan 1 2026 this resolves to 'yes'. Otherwise 'no'.
Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The condition of 25% or higher tariffs applies if...