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Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
24%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

An undeclared war is festering all along the hill country that separates Israel and Lebanon. It involves nearly as many troops as the war in the Gaza Strip. So far it's a largely static battle of missiles, artillery, bombing raids and stealthy infiltration On the Lebanese side, around 74,500 people have been displaced by the fighting, the Israeli military says more than 1,700 rockets have been fired from Lebanon toward Israel) Lebanon does not recognise Israel as a country and does not accept Israeli passports. however war for Lebanon an already economically crippled country would be disastrous for their infrastructure and already damaged economy which is still recovering from the Beirut explosion on the 4th of August 2020.

Question closes when either Israel-Hamas Conflict is resolved or war is declared between Lebanon and Israel.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters50
VolumeM9.7k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
24%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-10

An undeclared war is festering all along the hill country that separates Israel and Lebanon. It involves nearly as many troops as the war in the Gaza Strip. So far it's a largely static battle of missiles, artillery, bombing raids and stealthy...

Last updated: 2025-05-10
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 50
Volume: M9.7k

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