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Will Vietnam acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
20%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Vietnam has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031. This device must be under the sovereign control of the Vietnamese State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.

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Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters12
VolumeM912

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Vietnam acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
20%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-30

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Vietnam has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031. This device must be under the sovereign control of the Vietnamese State, and they must have the ability to use it independently..

Last updated: 2025-05-30
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 12
Volume: M912

Embed #

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