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Will the ICC officially issue arrest warrants for Russian officials on the grounds of genocide?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
32%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

The question is whether the ICC will officially issue arrest warrants for Russian officials (including Vladimir Putin) specifically on the grounds of genocide for their intent to destroy in whole or in part Ukrainians as a national group.

Iny opinion there's no question that Russia is committing genocide, this question is about whether the ICC will recognize that.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters11
VolumeM407

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will the ICC officially issue arrest warrants for Russian officials on the grounds of genocide?
32%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-01

The question is whether the ICC will officially issue arrest warrants for Russian officials (including Vladimir Putin) specifically on the grounds of genocide for their intent to destroy in whole or in part Ukrainians as a national group.

Iny...

Last updated: 2025-04-01
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M407

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-QNg0Swn7BPbgVJzvW6xT" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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