This market resolves to YES if OpenAI publicly releases GPT-5 before Rockstar Games releases Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6).
"Public release" of GPT-5 refers to an official announcement and availability for general use, including only to a specific tier of paid users, but excluding private access such as to red teamers and other testers or researchers.
"Release" of GTA 6 refers to its official launch for consumers on any platform, not just pre-orders or limited early-access.
If both are released on the same day, the market resolves NO.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 13 |
| Volume | M1.3k |
This market resolves to YES if OpenAI publicly releases GPT-5 before Rockstar Games releases Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6).
"Public release" of GPT-5 refers to an official announcement and availability for general use, including only to a specific...