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Will Magnus Carlsen have the highest ELO in the world in mid 2026?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
83%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

based on this list https://ratings.fide.com/

The market will resolve based on the July 1st 2026 FIDE rating list (published June 30th 2026) as this list reflects Magnus's rating through the end of June 2026.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters12
VolumeM1.9k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Magnus Carlsen have the highest ELO in the world in mid 2026?
83%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-05-29

based on this list https://ratings.fide.com/

The market will resolve based on the July 1st 2026 FIDE rating list (published June 30th 2026) as this list reflects Magnus's rating through the end of June 2026.

Last updated: 2025-05-29
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 12
Volume: M1.9k

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