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Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
29%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

This market resolves YES if, before 1st Jan 2027, there is a volcanic explosion of 5 or larger on the Volcanic Explosivity Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_explosivity_index anywhere on Earth.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters28
VolumeM2.1k

Capture #

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Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027?
29%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-31

This market resolves YES if, before 1st Jan 2027, there is a volcanic explosion of 5 or larger on the Volcanic Explosivity Index https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Volcanic_explosivity_index anywhere on Earth.

Last updated: 2025-05-31
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 28
Volume: M2.1k

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<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-RfWydlmXt5ivu0UDpy0n" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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