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Will April 2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Resolution Source:

Global temperature data from Copernicus Climate Bulletins

Dataset: ERA5 Single Levels Data

Tie Resolution: A tie (when the temperature matches previous records up to two significant digits) will resolve as NO. Only two significant digits will be used to determine the outcome.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters11
VolumeM1.0k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will April 2025 will be the warmest month of April ever recorded (global) ?
< 1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-07

Resolution Source:

Global temperature data from Copernicus Climate Bulletins

Dataset: ERA5 Single Levels Data

Tie Resolution: A tie (when the temperature matches previous records up to two significant digits) will resolve as NO. Only two...

Last updated: 2025-06-07
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M1.0k

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