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If Kansas City loses Super Bowl LIX, will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift break up?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
7%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Background Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce have been dating publicly since September 2023. Their relationship has garnered significant media attention, with Swift attending multiple Chiefs games and Kelce supporting Swift at her concerts. Both have spoken positively about their relationship in public appearances and interviews.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if:

The Kansas City Chiefs lose Super Bowl LIX AND

Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift publicly announce their breakup or it is reliably reported by major news outlets within 6 months of the Super Bowl loss

The market will resolve NO if:

The Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl LIX OR

The Kansas City Chiefs lose Super Bowl LIX but Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce remain together for at least 6 months after the game

The market will resolve N/A if:

Either Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce pass away before the resolution date

Considerations Celebrity relationship markets can be difficult to resolve as breakups are not always publicly announced immediately. For resolution purposes, reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., People Magazine, Entertainment Tonight, TMZ) will be considered sufficient evidence of a breakup. Private or unconfirmed rumors will not be considered valid for resolution.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters14
VolumeM2.5k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
If Kansas City loses Super Bowl LIX, will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift break up?
7%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-30

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce have been dating publicly since September 2023. Their relationship has garnered significant media attention, with Swift attending multiple Chiefs games and Kelce supporting Swift at her concerts. Both have spoken...

Last updated: 2025-05-30
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 14
Volume: M2.5k

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