We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed before the end of 2025 according to the rules on the site https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/ according to the IMO Grand Challenge committee. This requires an AI to generate machine-checkable proof of enough problems on one of the IMOs in 2023, 2024 or 2025 for a gold medal (there are more rules on the website).
This resolves NO if this has not happened at the start of 2026. It will also resolve NO if a few weeks after the IMO in 2025 there is nobody claiming that the IMO grand challenge has been solved.
This resolves N/A if the IMO grand challenge is either canceled or abandoned (e.g. there is a serious claim that the challenge is completed and nobody of the committee comments on the submission for multiple months).
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 27 |
| Volume | M5.4k |
This resolves YES if the IMO grand challenge is completed before the end of 2025 according to the rules on the site https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/ according to the IMO Grand Challenge committee. This requires an AI to generate...