This question explores the plausible implausibility of modern diplomacy and avian ambition. Should a duck (real or symbolic) take office anywhere in the world before any form of toaster (conventional, smart, or rebellious) gains NATO membership—this resolves YES. Resolves NO if the toaster beats the duck, or if neither joins anything. Resolves at Poobah’s discretion, potentially involving ceremonial bread.

Update 2025-06-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to user feedback, the creator has confirmed a change to the resolution criteria. The market will no longer resolve to NO if the close date passes and neither event has occurred. The market will instead remain open until one of the conditions is met.