The market resolves YES if the journal Science retracts “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 p.m. EST. Otherwise the market resolves NO.
Here is the specific paper that would need to be retracted by Science:
The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic | Science
Errors & critique of the study:
Erratum for the Research Article “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by M. Worobey et al. | Science
The market creator will not trade in this market. This market will not resolve as a percentage under any circumstances.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 10 |
| Volume | M8.2k |
The market resolves YES if the journal Science retracts “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by December 31, 2025 at 11:59 p.m. EST. Otherwise the market resolves NO.
Here is the specific...