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Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if the global economy experiences a recession in 2025, as determined by one of the following:
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) officially declares a global recession in 2025
The World Bank officially declares a global recession in 2025
At least two consecutive quarters of negative global GDP growth are reported during 2025
The market resolves to NO if none of these conditions are met by December 31, 2025.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 15 |
| Volume | M379 |
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if the global economy experiences a recession in 2025, as determined by one of the following:
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) officially declares a global recession in 2025
The World Bank...