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Will Microsoft acquire TikTok before 4th April, 2025? [Read description]

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Background

According to Trump Microsoft is in talks to acquire TikTok

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/01/27/tiktok-microsoft-trump-ban-china/2b647124-dd2a-11ef-8889-d5c3924edafd_story.html?isMobile=1

Microsoft is currently in talks to acquire TikTok's U.S. operations, as confirmed by former President Donald Trump. This potential acquisition comes amid national security concerns surrounding TikTok. The April 4th deadline was set by the previous extension granted for TikTok to find new ownership. Several other parties, including Perplexity AI, Frank McCourt, and former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, have also expressed interest in acquiring TikTok.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if:

Microsoft successfully completes the acquisition of TikTok's U.S. operations before April 4th, 2025

The acquisition is officially announced and confirmed by both parties before the deadline

This market will resolve NO if:

Microsoft does not complete the acquisition by April 4th, 2024

Another company acquires TikTok before the deadline

No acquisition takes place by the deadline

The deal falls through or negotiations end without an agreement

Considerations

The presence of multiple potential buyers could lead to a bidding war, potentially affecting the timeline

Regulatory approvals and national security reviews may impact the completion timeline

Previous attempts to acquire TikTok have faced significant regulatory and political hurdles

The deadline could potentially be extended again, but this market will resolve based on the current April 4th deadline

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters17
VolumeM6.2k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok before 4th April, 2025? [Read description]
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-04-02

According to Trump Microsoft is in talks to acquire TikTok

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/01/27/tiktok-microsoft-trump-ban-china/2b647124-dd2a-11ef-8889-d5c3924edafd_story.html?isMobile=1

Microsoft is currently in talks to acquire...

Last updated: 2025-04-02
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 17
Volume: M6.2k

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