We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
The only problem solved by the time the marked is created (4 Dec 2022) is the Poincaré conjecture. The remaining ones are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture, Hodge conjecture, Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness, P versus NP problem, Riemann hypothesis, and Yang–Mills existence and mass gap.
If the Clay Methematics Institute offers an award for the solution of a Millennium Prize Problem to someone and they decline the award (as Grigory Perelman did with his prize for proving the Poincaré conjecture), I will resolve YES.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 30 |
| Volume | M9.4k |
The only problem solved by the time the marked is created (4 Dec 2022) is the Poincaré conjecture. The remaining ones are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture, Hodge conjecture, Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness, P versus NP problem, Riemann...