We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
The public consciousness of the United States, to be clear.
Like AI risk, gain-of-function research, etcetera.
If people talk about it for a month and then forget about it then I guess that doesn't count.
Resolves somewhat subjectively based on my personal life. For instance, if people who aren't the sort of people who have talked about cryonics in the past start talking about it, then this market resolves yes. If I am not still using Manifold by then, then mods get to choose, I guess.
I won't bet. Unless I forget not to do that. But I won't.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 18 |
| Volume | M974 |
The public consciousness of the United States, to be clear.
Like AI risk, gain-of-function research, etcetera.
If people talk about it for a month and then forget about it then I guess that doesn't count.
Resolves somewhat subjectively based on my...