We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
Resolves YES if:
China makes a declaration of war by 2030.
Resolves NO if:
China doesn't make a declaration of war by 2030.
If for some reason China invades without declaring war, I will still resolve NO to remove ambiguity.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 24 |
| Volume | M1.2k |
Resolves YES if:
China makes a declaration of war by 2030.
Resolves NO if:
China doesn't make a declaration of war by 2030.
If for some reason China invades without declaring war, I will still resolve NO to remove ambiguity.