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Will the California HSR meet its Bay Area<->LA ridership goals by 2030 (8.5M/y)

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
22%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

Market forecasts are on page 3 of https://www.cahsrprg.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/15/2018/08/Model_sensitivities_AppendixB.pdf

Market resolves NO if that rail linkage doesn't exist by 2030.

Screenshot in case the above doc gets removed/edited:

[image]

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters11
VolumeM454

Capture #

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Will the California HSR meet its Bay Area<->LA ridership goals by 2030 (8.5M/y)
22%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-24

Market forecasts are on page 3 of https://www.cahsrprg.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/15/2018/08/Model_sensitivities_AppendixB.pdf

Market resolves NO if that rail linkage doesn't exist by 2030.

Screenshot in case the above doc gets...

Last updated: 2025-05-24
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 11
Volume: M454

Embed #

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