We aren't currently maintaining Metaforecast. We hope to do so again in the future.
If both women and non-women take the next step at the same time, resolves to the fraction of women among them. If for some reason it is not clear whether a woman was first, resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission.
Update 2025-02-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Resolution Criteria:
Only count individuals who actually set foot on the lunar surface.
Crew members who remain inside a landed vehicle and do not exit are not counted.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 29 |
| Volume | M3.4k |
If both women and non-women take the next step at the same time, resolves to the fraction of women among them. If for some reason it is not clear whether a woman was first, resolves to the fraction of women among the crew of the mission.
Update...