MetaforecastStatus
SearchToolsAbout

‌

‌
‌
‌
‌
‌
‌

Will the US be a democracy in 2040?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
81%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018

(https://manifold.markets/embed/DismalScientist/will-the-us-be-a-democracy-in-2050) Close date updated to 2041-01-01 6:59 pm

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters18
VolumeM750

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will the US be a democracy in 2040?
81%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-05-27

As classified by their polity score https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polity_data_series#Scores_for_2018

(https://manifold.markets/embed/DismalScientist/will-the-us-be-a-democracy-in-2050) Close date updated to 2041-01-01 6:59 pm

Last updated: 2025-05-27
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M750

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-XXd74uqbTGvHI01yHEgp" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

Preview