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Will Amazon have a broadly available drone delivery service in the US by June 2025?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Yes

Question description #

By "broadly available", I roughly mean that at least 1 in 10 Americans could order something by drone if they wanted to. The cost of the delivery doesn't matter for the purposes of the question.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters34
VolumeM12k

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will Amazon have a broadly available drone delivery service in the US by June 2025?
1%
Exceptionally unlikely
Last updated: 2025-05-30

By "broadly available", I roughly mean that at least 1 in 10 Americans could order something by drone if they wanted to. The cost of the delivery doesn't matter for the purposes of the question.

Last updated: 2025-05-30
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 34
Volume: M12k

Embed #

<iframe src="https://metaforecast.org/questions/embed/manifold-Z5drVZMNrEBG9Bzugycl" height="600" width="600" frameborder="0" />

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