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Will I live to be more than 1 billion years old?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
7%
Very unlikely
Yes

Question description #

A few hundred years, or a few hundred thousand years? Pffft... I seek to live on cosmological timescales!

Resolves as "Yes" if I live to see my 1 billionth birthday, else it will resolve no. The following will count towards a "Yes" and/or "Still Alive":

Digital and physical clones

Backup copies (via mind uploading, DNA storage)

Resurrection with future medical advances.

Cryogenic storage not resulting in information theoretic death.

Traveling on relativistic rockets close to the speed of light, or living close enough to a supermassive black hole, or experiencing other relativistic effects which will result in aging slower relative to Earth's reference frame.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters18
VolumeM775

Capture #

Resizable preview:
Will I live to be more than 1 billion years old?
7%
Very unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-20

A few hundred years, or a few hundred thousand years? Pffft... I seek to live on cosmological timescales!

Resolves as "Yes" if I live to see my 1 billionth birthday, else it will resolve no. The following will count towards a "Yes" and/or "Still...

Last updated: 2025-03-20
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 18
Volume: M775

Embed #

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