The market will be considered resolved as "YES" if either the US or Israel formally declares war against Iran, or if Iran formally declares war against Israel or US. Only official statements issued by the respective governments will qualify. Rhetorical comments or informal threats do not count.
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 19 |
| Volume | M649 |
The market will be considered resolved as "YES" if either the US or Israel formally declares war against Iran, or if Iran formally declares war against Israel or US. Only official statements issued by the respective governments will qualify....