This market merely requires that both Russian and American official channels (gov announcements count, including on eg twitter, a press conference, etc.) announce a joint plan to build a bridge or tunnel or similar kind of permanent crossing between Russia and Alaska.
If no such announcement occurs before January 20, 2029, this market resolves NO.
See also
(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/will-a-bering-strait-crossing-be-an?play=true)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Stars | ★★☆☆☆ |
| Platform | Manifold Markets |
| Forecasters | 7 |
| Volume | M2.1k |
This market merely requires that both Russian and American official channels (gov announcements count, including on eg twitter, a press conference, etc.) announce a joint plan to build a bridge or tunnel or similar kind of permanent crossing between...