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Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
12%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

I will not trade on this market after December 24, 2024 to avoid any conflicts of interest in resolution.

Reported transmission must have occurred after this market was created for it to resolve YES.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters109
VolumeM30k

Capture #

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Will there be documented human-to-human transmission of H5N1 (bird flu) before 2026?
12%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-06-17

I will not trade on this market after December 24, 2024 to avoid any conflicts of interest in resolution.

Reported transmission must have occurred after this market was created for it to resolve YES.

Last updated: 2025-06-17
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 109
Volume: M30k

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