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Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
65%
Likely
Yes

Question description #

Strong AGI as defined by the official Manifold market: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708

If he steps down as CEO but remains on the board or another role, this question will remain open.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters20
VolumeM699

Capture #

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Will Sam Altman leave OpenAI before Strong AGI is discovered by any organization?
65%
Likely
Last updated: 2025-04-01

Strong AGI as defined by the official Manifold market: @/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708

If he steps down as CEO but remains on the board or another role, this question will remain open.

Last updated: 2025-04-01
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 20
Volume: M699

Embed #

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