Upon hearing that the newly announced steel tariffs have been implemented, I will buy a head of lettuce from a nearby grocery store. I will keep said head of lettuce on my counter indoors. (roughly 70 degrees F/21 degrees C) If the head of lettuce wilts before the steel tariffs are removed, this question will resolve YES. Otherwise, the question will resolve NO.

In the case that the steel tariffs never go into effect or are withdrawn before I go to the store, this will also resolve NO.

I will be the sole arbiter of whether the lettuce has wilted and will not bet on this question.

Update 2025-02-11 (PST): • Tariff Start Date as the Reference: The measurement for lettuce wilting will now be compared to the actual start date when the tariffs begin inflicting economic pain (the effective implementation date), not from when the lettuce was purchased. • Wilting Comparison: The market will resolve YES if the tariffs remain in effect longer than the period it takes for the lettuce to wilt when measured from the tariffs' effective start date. • Asynchronous Measurement Option: If there are objections to this asynchronous timing, the creator is willing to purchase a new lettuce on March 12 to align the measurement period with that date. • Post-March 12 Delay: Any delay in the tariffs being implemented beyond March 12 will lead to a resolution of NO. (AI summary of creator comment)

Update 2025-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Significant Events Affecting Lettuce Lifespan:

Any significant event that could substantially alter the average lifespan of a head of lettuce will trigger the purchase of a new head of lettuce.

This ensures that if factors beyond preservation technology change the natural wilting period, the measurement period is reset with a new lettuce.

Update 2025-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Tariff Duration Requirement:

The tariffs must remain in effect for at least two weeks from the effective start date.

No Additional Delays:

There must be no further delay in the implementation of the tariffs.