Payout matrix

Kamala/Dems in 24 & status quo in NK => YES

Trump/Repubs in 24 & Kim out => YES

Kamala in, Kim out => NO

Trump in, Kim in => NO

The election part will be settled early 2035. The NK part can resolve "OUT" early, and resolved "status quo if he's still in power at June 30 end, 2029

Here are the definitions of the inputs

Trump wins and takes office => or his VP/party does so, or Kamala/her party does so is the first Axis. So if Trump wins but drops out and Vance soldiers on, it still counts as a Trump side win. My goal here is to always be able to resolve inputs to some well-defined value. So the actual criteria is assuming office at or around the appropriate time in early 2025 regardless of what else happens. Once the person takes office and retains it for at least 24 hours this section is done and what happens after is irrelevant. Once this point is passed I the judge will declare the result of this input

Kim Jing Un dead, fled, totally disappeared and has been replaced is on one side or similar, and the status quo is the other. This part can resolve if he's clearly dead or fled for at least 3 weeks. In the fled case there needs to be a new leader etc. once 3 weeks has passed then this input is resolved regarding what happens later