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Will the US enact high-skilled immigration reform to help win the AI race against China?

Manifold Markets
★★☆☆☆
29%
Unlikely
Yes

Question description #

The US has already banned high-end AI chip exports to China (putting roadblocks in China's way) and passed the CHIPS Act to subsidise chip manufacturing in the US (trying to protect US national security by reducing the reliance of the AI supply chain on other countries), will it also enact immigration reform to make it easier for genuinely skilled AI experts to relocate to the US (putting boosters under the US's AI efforts)?

This could be as simple as raising or even eliminating the H1-B cap. Potentially the requirements for getting a H1-B visa could be tightened to prevent abuse.

Indicators #

IndicatorValue
Stars
★★☆☆☆
PlatformManifold Markets
Forecasters12
VolumeM207

Capture #

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Will the US enact high-skilled immigration reform to help win the AI race against China?
29%
Unlikely
Last updated: 2025-03-25

The US has already banned high-end AI chip exports to China (putting roadblocks in China's way) and passed the CHIPS Act to subsidise chip manufacturing in the US (trying to protect US national security by reducing the reliance of the AI supply chain...

Last updated: 2025-03-25
★★☆☆☆
Manifold Markets
Forecasters: 12
Volume: M207

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